Edge Finder

Model predictions vs. sportsbook odds — find where the value is.

Disclaimer: This tool is for entertainment and informational purposes only. It is not financial advice. Never bet more than you can afford to lose.

Fights Analyzed

Value Bets Found

Highest Edge

23.4%Cody Garbrandt

Min Edge%

UFC 329: McGregor vs. Holloway 2Jul 11, 2026

BantamweightLOW Confidence

Value

Cody Garbrandt

Sportsbook

+320

Expected EV

+98.2%

Our Prediction

47.2%

+23.4% EDGE

Cody Garbrandt

14-7-0 Record

Market Odds

+32023.8% implied

Expected Value

+98.2% EV

47.2%Prediction

+23.4% EDGE

Value Bet Recommended

Prediction

52.8%

Adrian Yanez

Sportsbook

-410

Expected EV

-34.3%

Adrian Yanez

17-6-0 Record

Expected Value

-34.3% EV

Market Odds

80.4% implied-410

Prediction52.8%

-27.6% EDGE

Victory MethodsDraftKings

KO/TKO 78%

Decision 17%

SUB 5%

Provider: DraftKings

UFC 329: McGregor vs. Holloway 2Jul 11, 2026

LightweightHIGH Confidence

Value

#5 Ranked

Benoit Saint Denis

Sportsbook

-135

Expected EV

+27.8%

Our Prediction

73.4%

+16.0% EDGE

#5 Ranked

Benoit Saint Denis

17-3-0 Record

Market Odds

-13557.4% implied

Expected Value

+27.8% EV

73.4%Prediction

+16.0% EDGE

Value Bet Recommended

#6 Ranked

Prediction

26.6%

Paddy Pimblett

Sportsbook

+114

Expected EV

-43.1%

#6 Ranked

Paddy Pimblett

23-4-0 Record

Expected Value

-43.1% EV

Market Odds

46.7% implied+114

Prediction26.6%

-20.1% EDGE

Victory MethodsDraftKings

SUB 49%

KO/TKO 41%

Decision 10%

Provider: DraftKings

UFC 329: McGregor vs. Holloway 2Jul 11, 2026

Light HeavyweightHIGH Confidence

#9 Ranked

Prediction

42.3%

Robert Whittaker

Sportsbook

-142

Expected EV

-27.9%

#9 Ranked

Robert Whittaker

27-9-0 Record

Market Odds

-14258.7% implied

Expected Value

-27.9% EV

42.3%Prediction

-16.4% EDGE

Value

#13 Ranked

Nikita Krylov

Sportsbook

+120

Expected EV

+26.9%

Our Prediction

57.7%

+12.2% EDGE

#13 Ranked

Nikita Krylov

31-11-0 Record

Expected Value

+26.9% EV

Market Odds

45.5% implied+120

Prediction57.7%

+12.2% EDGE

Value Bet Recommended

Victory MethodsDraftKings

KO/TKO 52%

SUB 34%

Decision 14%

Provider: DraftKings

UFC 329: McGregor vs. Holloway 2Jul 11, 2026

FlyweightLOW Confidence

Value

#4 Ranked

Brandon Royval

Sportsbook

+185

Expected EV

+33.4%

Our Prediction

46.8%

+11.7% EDGE

#4 Ranked

Brandon Royval

17-9-0 Record

Market Odds

+18535.1% implied

Expected Value

+33.4% EV

46.8%Prediction

+11.7% EDGE

Value Bet Recommended

#15 Ranked

Prediction

53.2%

Lone'er Kavanagh

Sportsbook

-225

Expected EV

-23.2%

#15 Ranked

Lone'er Kavanagh

10-1-0 Record

Expected Value

-23.2% EV

Market Odds

69.2% implied-225

Prediction53.2%

-16.0% EDGE

Victory MethodsDraftKings

Decision 90%

KO/TKO 6%

SUB 4%

Provider: DraftKings

UFC 329: McGregor vs. Holloway 2Jul 11, 2026

FlyweightHIGH Confidence

#8 Ranked

Prediction

41.1%

Tracy Cortez

Sportsbook

-105

Expected EV

-19.8%

#8 Ranked

Tracy Cortez

12-3-0 Record

Market Odds

-10551.2% implied

Expected Value

-19.8% EV

41.1%Prediction

-10.1% EDGE

Value

#12 Ranked

Wang Cong

Sportsbook

-115

Expected EV

+10.1%

Our Prediction

58.9%

+5.4% EDGE

#12 Ranked

Wang Cong

8-1-0 Record

Expected Value

+10.1% EV

Market Odds

53.5% implied-115

Prediction58.9%

+5.4% EDGE

Value Bet Recommended

Victory MethodsDraftKings

Decision 88%

SUB 6%

KO/TKO 6%

Provider: DraftKings

UFC 329: McGregor vs. Holloway 2Jul 11, 2026

BantamweightLOW Confidence

#4 Ranked

Prediction

50.4%

Cory Sandhagen

Sportsbook

-148

Expected EV

-15.5%

#4 Ranked

Cory Sandhagen

18-6-0 Record

Market Odds

-14859.7% implied

Expected Value

-15.5% EV

50.4%Prediction

-9.3% EDGE

#9 Ranked

Mario Bautista

Sportsbook

+124

Expected EV

+11.1%

Our Prediction

49.6%

+5.0% EDGE

#9 Ranked

Mario Bautista

16-3-0 Record

Expected Value

+11.1% EV

Market Odds

44.6% implied+124

Prediction49.6%

+5.0% EDGE

Victory MethodsDraftKings

Decision 49%

KO/TKO 47%

SUB 4%

Provider: DraftKings

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