Edge Finder

Model predictions vs. sportsbook odds — find where the value is.

Disclaimer: This tool is for entertainment and informational purposes only. It is not financial advice. Never bet more than you can afford to lose.

Fights Analyzed

Value Bets Found

Highest Edge

32.4%Aiemann Zahabi

Min Edge%

UFC Freedom 250Jun 14, 2026

BantamweightMEDIUM Confidence

#3 Ranked

Prediction

43.2%

Sean O'Malley

Sportsbook

-395

Expected EV

-45.9%

#3 Ranked

Sean O'Malley

19-3-0 Record

Market Odds

-39579.8% implied

Expected Value

-45.9% EV

43.2%Prediction

-36.6% EDGE

Value

#6 Ranked

Aiemann Zahabi

Sportsbook

+310

Expected EV

+132.9%

Our Prediction

56.8%

+32.4% EDGE

#6 Ranked

Aiemann Zahabi

14-2-0 Record

Expected Value

+132.9% EV

Market Odds

24.4% implied+310

Prediction56.8%

+32.4% EDGE

Value Bet Recommended

Victory MethodsDraftKings

Decision 91%

KO/TKO 6%

SUB 4%

Provider: DraftKings

UFC Freedom 250Jun 14, 2026

FeatherweightHIGH Confidence

#2 Ranked

Prediction

31.3%

Diego Lopes

Sportsbook

-185

Expected EV

-51.8%

#2 Ranked

Diego Lopes

27-8-0 Record

Market Odds

-18564.9% implied

Expected Value

-51.8% EV

31.3%Prediction

-33.6% EDGE

Value

#9 Ranked

Steve Garcia

Sportsbook

+154

Expected EV

+74.5%

Our Prediction

68.7%

+29.3% EDGE

#9 Ranked

Steve Garcia

19-5-0 Record

Expected Value

+74.5% EV

Market Odds

39.4% implied+154

Prediction68.7%

+29.3% EDGE

Value Bet Recommended

Victory MethodsDraftKings

KO/TKO 75%

Decision 22%

SUB 4%

Provider: DraftKings

UFC 327: Prochazka vs. UlbergApr 11, 2026

HeavyweightHIGH Confidence

#4 Ranked

Prediction

29.2%

Curtis Blaydes

Sportsbook

-142

Expected EV

-50.2%

#4 Ranked

Curtis Blaydes

19-5-0 Record

Market Odds

-14258.7% implied

Expected Value

-50.2% EV

29.2%Prediction

-29.5% EDGE

Value

Josh Hokit

Sportsbook

+120

Expected EV

+55.8%

Our Prediction

70.8%

+25.3% EDGE

Josh Hokit

8-0-0 Record

Expected Value

+55.8% EV

Market Odds

45.5% implied+120

Prediction70.8%

+25.3% EDGE

Value Bet Recommended

Victory MethodsDraftKings

KO/TKO 87%

Decision 10%

SUB 3%

Provider: DraftKings

UFC 327: Prochazka vs. UlbergApr 11, 2026

LightweightHIGH Confidence

#7 Ranked

Prediction

37.3%

Mateusz Gamrot

Sportsbook

-170

Expected EV

-40.8%

#7 Ranked

Mateusz Gamrot

25-4-0 Record

Market Odds

-17063.0% implied

Expected Value

-40.8% EV

37.3%Prediction

-25.7% EDGE

Value

Esteban Ribovics

Sportsbook

+142

Expected EV

+51.7%

Our Prediction

62.7%

+21.4% EDGE

Esteban Ribovics

15-2-0 Record

Expected Value

+51.7% EV

Market Odds

41.3% implied+142

Prediction62.7%

+21.4% EDGE

Value Bet Recommended

Victory MethodsDraftKings

Decision 69%

KO/TKO 26%

SUB 4%

Provider: DraftKings

UFC 328: Chimaev vs. StricklandMay 9, 2026

HeavyweightHIGH Confidence

#2 Ranked

Prediction

36.4%

Alexander Volkov

Sportsbook

-162

Expected EV

-41.1%

#2 Ranked

Alexander Volkov

39-11-0 Record

Market Odds

-16261.8% implied

Expected Value

-41.1% EV

36.4%Prediction

-25.4% EDGE

Value

#5 Ranked

Waldo Cortes Acosta

Sportsbook

+136

Expected EV

+50.1%

Our Prediction

63.6%

+21.2% EDGE

#5 Ranked

Waldo Cortes Acosta

17-2-0 Record

Expected Value

+50.1% EV

Market Odds

42.4% implied+136

Prediction63.6%

+21.2% EDGE

Value Bet Recommended

Victory MethodsDraftKings

KO/TKO 85%

Decision 12%

SUB 3%

Provider: DraftKings

UFC 327: Prochazka vs. UlbergApr 11, 2026

FlyweightHIGH Confidence

Value

Champion

Joshua Van

Sportsbook

+145

Expected EV

+47.7%

Our Prediction

60.3%

+19.5% EDGE

Champion

Joshua Van

16-2-0 Record

Market Odds

+14540.8% implied

Expected Value

+47.7% EV

60.3%Prediction

+19.5% EDGE

Value Bet Recommended

#3 Ranked

Prediction

39.7%

Tatsuro Taira

Sportsbook

-175

Expected EV

-37.6%

#3 Ranked

Tatsuro Taira

18-1-0 Record

Expected Value

-37.6% EV

Market Odds

63.6% implied-175

Prediction39.7%

-23.9% EDGE

Victory MethodsDraftKings

Decision 58%

KO/TKO 38%

SUB 4%

Provider: DraftKings

UFC Fight Night: Moicano vs. DuncanApr 4, 2026

MiddleweightHIGH Confidence

Prediction

64.0%

Azamat Bekoev

Sportsbook

-650

Expected EV

-26.2%

Azamat Bekoev

20-4-0 Record

Market Odds

-65086.7% implied

Expected Value

-26.2% EV

64.0%Prediction

-22.7% EDGE

Value

Tresean Gore

Sportsbook

+470

Expected EV

+105.2%

Our Prediction

36.0%

+18.5% EDGE

Tresean Gore

6-4-0 Record

Expected Value

+105.2% EV

Market Odds

17.5% implied+470

Prediction36.0%

+18.5% EDGE

Value Bet Recommended

Victory MethodsDraftKings

KO/TKO 87%

Decision 10%

SUB 3%

Provider: DraftKings

UFC 328: Chimaev vs. StricklandMay 9, 2026

MiddleweightHIGH Confidence

Champion

Prediction

62.7%

Khamzat Chimaev

Sportsbook

-485

Expected EV

-24.4%

Champion

Khamzat Chimaev

15-0-0 Record

Market Odds

-48582.9% implied

Expected Value

-24.4% EV

62.7%Prediction

-20.2% EDGE

Value

#3 Ranked

Sean Strickland

Sportsbook

+370

Expected EV

+75.3%

Our Prediction

37.3%

+16.0% EDGE

#3 Ranked

Sean Strickland

30-7-0 Record

Expected Value

+75.3% EV

Market Odds

21.3% implied+370

Prediction37.3%

+16.0% EDGE

Value Bet Recommended

Victory MethodsDraftKings

SUB 51%

Decision 43%

KO/TKO 7%

Provider: DraftKings

UFC 327: Prochazka vs. UlbergApr 11, 2026

Light HeavyweightHIGH Confidence

Value

#10 Ranked

Dominick Reyes

Sportsbook

-122

Expected EV

+27.4%

Our Prediction

70.0%

+15.0% EDGE

#10 Ranked

Dominick Reyes

15-5-0 Record

Market Odds

-12255.0% implied

Expected Value

+27.4% EV

70.0%Prediction

+15.0% EDGE

Value Bet Recommended

#12 Ranked

Prediction

30.0%

Johnny Walker

Sportsbook

+102

Expected EV

-39.4%

#12 Ranked

Johnny Walker

22-9-0 Record

Expected Value

-39.4% EV

Market Odds

49.5% implied+102

Prediction30.0%

-19.5% EDGE

Victory MethodsDraftKings

KO/TKO 86%

Decision 10%

SUB 3%

Provider: DraftKings

UFC Freedom 250Jun 14, 2026

LightweightHIGH Confidence

Champion

Prediction

67.4%

Ilia Topuria

Sportsbook

-600

Expected EV

-21.4%

Champion

Ilia Topuria

17-0-0 Record

Market Odds

-60085.7% implied

Expected Value

-21.4% EV

67.4%Prediction

-18.3% EDGE

Value

#1 Ranked

Justin Gaethje

Sportsbook

+440

Expected EV

+76.0%

Our Prediction

32.6%

+14.1% EDGE

#1 Ranked

Justin Gaethje

27-5-0 Record

Expected Value

+76.0% EV

Market Odds

18.5% implied+440

Prediction32.6%

+14.1% EDGE

Value Bet Recommended

Victory MethodsDraftKings

KO/TKO 76%

Decision 21%

SUB 3%

Provider: DraftKings

UFC Fight Night: Della Maddalena vs. PratesMay 2, 2026

WelterweightHIGH Confidence

#1 Ranked

Prediction

35.8%

Jack Della Maddalena

Sportsbook

-110

Expected EV

-31.7%

#1 Ranked

Jack Della Maddalena

18-3-0 Record

Market Odds

-11052.4% implied

Expected Value

-31.7% EV

35.8%Prediction

-16.6% EDGE

Value

#5 Ranked

Carlos Prates

Sportsbook

-110

Expected EV

+22.6%

Our Prediction

64.2%

+11.8% EDGE

#5 Ranked

Carlos Prates

23-7-0 Record

Expected Value

+22.6% EV

Market Odds

52.4% implied-110

Prediction64.2%

+11.8% EDGE

Value Bet Recommended

Victory MethodsDraftKings

KO/TKO 87%

Decision 10%

SUB 3%

Provider: DraftKings

UFC Freedom 250Jun 14, 2026

LightweightHIGH Confidence

#9 Ranked

Prediction

70.8%

Mauricio Ruffy

Sportsbook

-625

Expected EV

-17.9%

#9 Ranked

Mauricio Ruffy

13-2-0 Record

Market Odds

-62586.2% implied

Expected Value

-17.9% EV

70.8%Prediction

-15.4% EDGE

Value

#13 Ranked

Michael Chandler

Sportsbook

+455

Expected EV

+62.1%

Our Prediction

29.2%

+11.2% EDGE

#13 Ranked

Michael Chandler

23-10-0 Record

Expected Value

+62.1% EV

Market Odds

18.0% implied+455

Prediction29.2%

+11.2% EDGE

Value Bet Recommended

Victory MethodsDraftKings

KO/TKO 71%

Decision 26%

SUB 3%

Provider: DraftKings

UFC 328: Chimaev vs. StricklandMay 9, 2026

Light HeavyweightHIGH Confidence

#5 Ranked

Prediction

29.8%

Jan Blachowicz

Sportsbook

+124

Expected EV

-33.2%

#5 Ranked

Jan Blachowicz

29-11-2 Record

Market Odds

+12444.6% implied

Expected Value

-33.2% EV

29.8%Prediction

-14.8% EDGE

Value

#9 Ranked

Bogdan Guskov

Sportsbook

-148

Expected EV

+17.6%

Our Prediction

70.2%

+10.5% EDGE

#9 Ranked

Bogdan Guskov

18-3-1 Record

Expected Value

+17.6% EV

Market Odds

59.7% implied-148

Prediction70.2%

+10.5% EDGE

Value Bet Recommended

Victory MethodsDraftKings

KO/TKO 72%

SUB 17%

Decision 11%

Provider: DraftKings

UFC Fight Night: Moicano vs. DuncanApr 4, 2026

LightweightHIGH Confidence

#10 Ranked

Prediction

28.3%

Renato Moicano

Sportsbook

+136

Expected EV

-33.2%

#10 Ranked

Renato Moicano

20-7-1 Record

Market Odds

+13642.4% implied

Expected Value

-33.2% EV

28.3%Prediction

-14.1% EDGE

Value

Chris Duncan

Sportsbook

-162

Expected EV

+16.0%

Our Prediction

71.7%

+9.9% EDGE

Chris Duncan

15-2-0 Record

Expected Value

+16.0% EV

Market Odds

61.8% implied-162

Prediction71.7%

+9.9% EDGE

Value Bet Recommended

Victory MethodsDraftKings

SUB 71%

Decision 24%

KO/TKO 5%

Provider: DraftKings

UFC 327: Prochazka vs. UlbergApr 11, 2026

FeatherweightMEDIUM Confidence

Value

Cub Swanson

Sportsbook

+124

Expected EV

+21.4%

Our Prediction

54.2%

+9.6% EDGE

Cub Swanson

30-14-0 Record

Market Odds

+12444.6% implied

Expected Value

+21.4% EV

54.2%Prediction

+9.6% EDGE

Value Bet Recommended

Prediction

45.8%

Nate Landwehr

Sportsbook

-148

Expected EV

-23.3%

Nate Landwehr

18-7-0 Record

Expected Value

-23.3% EV

Market Odds

59.7% implied-148

Prediction45.8%

-13.9% EDGE

Victory MethodsDraftKings

Decision 49%

KO/TKO 46%

SUB 5%

Provider: DraftKings

UFC 327: Prochazka vs. UlbergApr 11, 2026

WelterweightMEDIUM Confidence

Value

Kevin Holland

Sportsbook

+114

Expected EV

+20.3%

Our Prediction

56.2%

+9.5% EDGE

Kevin Holland

28-15-0 Record

Market Odds

+11446.7% implied

Expected Value

+20.3% EV

56.2%Prediction

+9.5% EDGE

Value Bet Recommended

Prediction

43.8%

Randy Brown

Sportsbook

-135

Expected EV

-23.8%

Randy Brown

20-7-0 Record

Expected Value

-23.8% EV

Market Odds

57.4% implied-135

Prediction43.8%

-13.6% EDGE

Victory MethodsDraftKings

Decision 47%

SUB 46%

KO/TKO 7%

Provider: DraftKings

UFC Fight Night: Sterling vs. ZalalApr 25, 2026

WelterweightMEDIUM Confidence

#6 Ranked

Prediction

55.2%

Sean Brady

Sportsbook

-205

Expected EV

-17.9%

#6 Ranked

Sean Brady

18-2-0 Record

Market Odds

-20567.2% implied

Expected Value

-17.9% EV

55.2%Prediction

-12.0% EDGE

Value

#9 Ranked

Joaquin Buckley

Sportsbook

+170

Expected EV

+21.0%

Our Prediction

44.8%

+7.8% EDGE

#9 Ranked

Joaquin Buckley

21-7-0 Record

Expected Value

+21.0% EV

Market Odds

37.0% implied+170

Prediction44.8%

+7.8% EDGE

Value Bet Recommended

Victory MethodsDraftKings

SUB 47%

Decision 47%

KO/TKO 6%

Provider: DraftKings

UFC Freedom 250Jun 14, 2026

HeavyweightHIGH Confidence

Value

Champion

Alex Pereira

Sportsbook

-108

Expected EV

+14.2%

Our Prediction

59.3%

+7.4% EDGE

Champion

Alex Pereira

13-3-0 Record

Market Odds

-10851.9% implied

Expected Value

+14.2% EV

59.3%Prediction

+7.4% EDGE

Value Bet Recommended

#1 Ranked

Prediction

40.7%

Ciryl Gane

Sportsbook

-112

Expected EV

-23.0%

#1 Ranked

Ciryl Gane

13-2-0 Record

Expected Value

-23.0% EV

Market Odds

52.8% implied-112

Prediction40.7%

-12.1% EDGE

Victory MethodsDraftKings

KO/TKO 87%

Decision 10%

SUB 3%

Provider: DraftKings

UFC Freedom 250Jun 14, 2026

MiddleweightHIGH Confidence

Prediction

65.3%

Bo Nickal

Sportsbook

-310

Expected EV

-13.6%

Bo Nickal

8-1-0 Record

Market Odds

-31075.6% implied

Expected Value

-13.6% EV

65.3%Prediction

-10.3% EDGE

Value

Kyle Daukaus

Sportsbook

+250

Expected EV

+21.4%

Our Prediction

34.7%

+6.1% EDGE

Kyle Daukaus

17-4-0 Record

Expected Value

+21.4% EV

Market Odds

28.6% implied+250

Prediction34.7%

+6.1% EDGE

Value Bet Recommended

Victory MethodsDraftKings

KO/TKO 36%

Decision 35%

SUB 29%

Provider: DraftKings

UFC Fight Night: Moicano vs. DuncanApr 4, 2026

StrawweightLOW Confidence

#3 Ranked

Prediction

51.0%

Virna Jandiroba

Sportsbook

-135

Expected EV

-11.2%

#3 Ranked

Virna Jandiroba

22-4-0 Record

Market Odds

-13557.4% implied

Expected Value

-11.2% EV

51.0%Prediction

-6.4% EDGE

#7 Ranked

Prediction

49.0%

Tabatha Ricci

Sportsbook

+114

Expected EV

+4.9%

#7 Ranked

Tabatha Ricci

12-3-0 Record

Expected Value

+4.9% EV

Market Odds

46.7% implied+114

Prediction49.0%

+2.3% EDGE

Victory MethodsDraftKings

Decision 65%

SUB 28%

KO/TKO 6%

Provider: DraftKings

UFC 327: Prochazka vs. UlbergApr 11, 2026

StrawweightMEDIUM Confidence

#2 Ranked

Prediction

54.6%

Tatiana Suarez

Sportsbook

-155

Expected EV

-10.2%

#2 Ranked

Tatiana Suarez

12-1-0 Record

Market Odds

-15560.8% implied

Expected Value

-10.2% EV

54.6%Prediction

-6.2% EDGE

#6 Ranked

Prediction

45.4%

Loopy Godinez

Sportsbook

+130

Expected EV

+4.4%

#6 Ranked

Loopy Godinez

14-5-0 Record

Expected Value

+4.4% EV

Market Odds

43.5% implied+130

Prediction45.4%

+1.9% EDGE

Victory MethodsDraftKings

SUB 51%

Decision 43%

KO/TKO 7%

Provider: DraftKings

UFC 327: Prochazka vs. UlbergApr 11, 2026

MiddleweightHIGH Confidence

Prediction

64.9%

Kelvin Gastelum

Sportsbook

-238

Expected EV

-7.8%

Kelvin Gastelum

21-10-0 Record

Market Odds

-23870.4% implied

Expected Value

-7.8% EV

64.9%Prediction

-5.5% EDGE

Prediction

35.1%

Vicente Luque

Sportsbook

+195

Expected EV

+3.5%

Vicente Luque

23-12-1 Record

Expected Value

+3.5% EV

Market Odds

33.9% implied+195

Prediction35.1%

+1.2% EDGE

Victory MethodsDraftKings

Decision 89%

KO/TKO 7%

SUB 4%

Provider: DraftKings

UFC 328: Chimaev vs. StricklandMay 9, 2026

LightweightHIGH Confidence

Prediction

76.1%

King Green

Sportsbook

-305

Expected EV

+1.1%

King Green

34-17-1 Record

Market Odds

-30575.3% implied

Expected Value

+1.1% EV

76.1%Prediction

+0.8% EDGE

Prediction

23.9%

Jeremy Stephens

Sportsbook

+245

Expected EV

-17.5%

Jeremy Stephens

28-20-0 Record

Expected Value

-17.5% EV

Market Odds

29.0% implied+245

Prediction23.9%

-5.1% EDGE

Victory MethodsDraftKings

Decision 52%

KO/TKO 40%

SUB 8%

Provider: DraftKings

UFC Fight Night: Moicano vs. DuncanApr 4, 2026

FlyweightHIGH Confidence

Prediction

79.6%

Alessandro Costa

Sportsbook

-410

Expected EV

-1.0%

Alessandro Costa

14-5-0 Record

Market Odds

-41080.4% implied

Expected Value

-1.0% EV

79.6%Prediction

-0.8% EDGE

Prediction

20.4%

Stewart Nicoll

Sportsbook

+320

Expected EV

-14.3%

Stewart Nicoll

8-2-0 Record

Expected Value

-14.3% EV

Market Odds

23.8% implied+320

Prediction20.4%

-3.4% EDGE

Victory MethodsDraftKings

KO/TKO 80%

Decision 15%

SUB 5%

Provider: DraftKings

UFC 327: Prochazka vs. UlbergApr 11, 2026

Light HeavyweightMEDIUM Confidence

#2 Ranked

Prediction

55.4%

Jiri Prochazka

Sportsbook

-142

Expected EV

-5.6%

#2 Ranked

Jiri Prochazka

32-5-1 Record

Market Odds

-14258.7% implied

Expected Value

-5.6% EV

55.4%Prediction

-3.3% EDGE

#3 Ranked

Prediction

44.6%

Carlos Ulberg

Sportsbook

+120

Expected EV

-1.9%

#3 Ranked

Carlos Ulberg

14-1-0 Record

Expected Value

-1.9% EV

Market Odds

45.5% implied+120

Prediction44.6%

-0.9% EDGE

Victory MethodsDraftKings

KO/TKO 87%

Decision 10%

SUB 3%

Provider: DraftKings

UFC 327: Prochazka vs. UlbergApr 11, 2026

Light HeavyweightHIGH Confidence

#6 Ranked

Prediction

60.1%

Azamat Murzakanov

Sportsbook

-175

Expected EV

-5.6%

#6 Ranked

Azamat Murzakanov

16-0-0 Record

Market Odds

-17563.6% implied

Expected Value

-5.6% EV

60.1%Prediction

-3.5% EDGE

#12 Ranked

Prediction

39.9%

Paulo Costa

Sportsbook

+145

Expected EV

-2.2%

#12 Ranked

Paulo Costa

15-4-0 Record

Expected Value

-2.2% EV

Market Odds

40.8% implied+145

Prediction39.9%

-0.9% EDGE

Victory MethodsDraftKings

KO/TKO 79%

Decision 18%

SUB 3%

Provider: DraftKings

UFC Fight Night: Moicano vs. DuncanApr 4, 2026

FlyweightMEDIUM Confidence

Prediction

54.0%

Dione Barbosa

Sportsbook

-130

Expected EV

-4.5%

Dione Barbosa

8-4-0 Record

Market Odds

-13056.5% implied

Expected Value

-4.5% EV

54.0%Prediction

-2.5% EDGE

Prediction

46.0%

Melissa Gatto

Sportsbook

+110

Expected EV

-3.4%

Melissa Gatto

9-2-2 Record

Expected Value

-3.4% EV

Market Odds

47.6% implied+110

Prediction46.0%

-1.6% EDGE

Victory MethodsDraftKings

SUB 54%

Decision 41%

KO/TKO 6%

Provider: DraftKings

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