Edge Finder

Model predictions vs. sportsbook odds — find where the value is.

Disclaimer: This tool is for entertainment and informational purposes only. It is not financial advice. Never bet more than you can afford to lose.

Fights Analyzed

Value Bets Found

Highest Edge

37.5%Kevin Borjas

Min Edge%

UFC Fight Night: Moreno vs. KavanaghFeb 28, 2026

FlyweightLOW Confidence

Prediction

37.5%

Imanol Rodriguez

Sportsbook

-430

Expected EV

-53.8%

Imanol Rodriguez

6-0-0 Record

Market Odds

-43081.1% implied

Expected Value

-53.8% EV

37.5%Prediction

-43.6% EDGE

Value

Kevin Borjas

Sportsbook

+300

Expected EV

+150.0%

Our Prediction

62.5%

+37.5% EDGE

Kevin Borjas

10-4-0 Record

Expected Value

+150.0% EV

Market Odds

25.0% implied+300

Prediction62.5%

+37.5% EDGE

Value Bet Recommended

Victory MethodsFanDuel

Decision 90%

KO/TKO 6%

SUB 4%

Provider: FanDuel

UFC 326: Holloway vs. Oliveira 2Mar 7, 2026

Light HeavyweightLOW Confidence

Prediction

31.5%

Luke Fernandez

Sportsbook

-240

Expected EV

-55.4%

Luke Fernandez

6-0-0 Record

Market Odds

-24070.6% implied

Expected Value

-55.4% EV

31.5%Prediction

-39.1% EDGE

Value

Rodolfo Bellato

Sportsbook

+205

Expected EV

+108.9%

Our Prediction

68.5%

+35.7% EDGE

Rodolfo Bellato

12-3-1 Record

Expected Value

+108.9% EV

Market Odds

32.8% implied+205

Prediction68.5%

+35.7% EDGE

Value Bet Recommended

Victory MethodsBetOnline.ag

KO/TKO 82%

Decision 14%

SUB 4%

Provider: BetOnline.ag

UFC Fight Night: Moreno vs. KavanaghFeb 28, 2026

MiddleweightLOW Confidence

Prediction

43.4%

Damian Pinas

Sportsbook

-280

Expected EV

-41.1%

Damian Pinas

8-1-0 Record

Market Odds

-28073.7% implied

Expected Value

-41.1% EV

43.4%Prediction

-30.3% EDGE

Value

Wes Schultz

Sportsbook

+240

Expected EV

+92.4%

Our Prediction

56.6%

+27.2% EDGE

Wes Schultz

8-2-0 Record

Expected Value

+92.4% EV

Market Odds

29.4% implied+240

Prediction56.6%

+27.2% EDGE

Value Bet Recommended

Victory MethodsBetOnline.ag

Decision 61%

KO/TKO 28%

SUB 10%

Provider: BetOnline.ag

UFC Fight Night: Evloev vs. MurphyMar 21, 2026

FeatherweightMEDIUM Confidence

#1 Ranked

Prediction

42.8%

Movsar Evloev

Sportsbook

-278

Expected EV

-41.8%

#1 Ranked

Movsar Evloev

19-0-0 Record

Market Odds

-27873.5% implied

Expected Value

-41.8% EV

42.8%Prediction

-30.7% EDGE

Value

#3 Ranked

Lerone Murphy

Sportsbook

+225

Expected EV

+85.9%

Our Prediction

57.2%

+26.4% EDGE

#3 Ranked

Lerone Murphy

17-0-1 Record

Expected Value

+85.9% EV

Market Odds

30.8% implied+225

Prediction57.2%

+26.4% EDGE

Value Bet Recommended

Victory MethodsDraftKings

Decision 75%

KO/TKO 21%

SUB 4%

Provider: DraftKings

UFC Fight Night: Moreno vs. KavanaghFeb 28, 2026

BantamweightMEDIUM Confidence

Prediction

54.0%

Cristian Quinonez

Sportsbook

-500

Expected EV

-35.2%

Cristian Quinonez

18-5-0 Record

Market Odds

-50083.3% implied

Expected Value

-35.2% EV

54.0%Prediction

-29.3% EDGE

Value

Kris Moutinho

Sportsbook

+375

Expected EV

+118.5%

Our Prediction

46.0%

+24.9% EDGE

Kris Moutinho

14-7-0 Record

Expected Value

+118.5% EV

Market Odds

21.1% implied+375

Prediction46.0%

+24.9% EDGE

Value Bet Recommended

Victory MethodsBetOnline.ag

Decision 52%

KO/TKO 37%

SUB 11%

Provider: BetOnline.ag

UFC Fight Night: Strickland vs. HernandezFeb 21, 2026

MiddleweightHIGH Confidence

Value

Zach Reese

Sportsbook

+124

Expected EV

+54.1%

Our Prediction

68.8%

+24.2% EDGE

Zach Reese

10-2-0 Record

Market Odds

+12444.6% implied

Expected Value

+54.1% EV

68.8%Prediction

+24.2% EDGE

Value Bet Recommended

Prediction

31.2%

Michel Pereira

Sportsbook

-148

Expected EV

-47.7%

Michel Pereira

31-14-0 Record

Expected Value

-47.7% EV

Market Odds

59.7% implied-148

Prediction31.2%

-28.5% EDGE

Victory MethodsDraftKings

Decision 47%

SUB 47%

KO/TKO 6%

Provider: DraftKings

UFC Fight Night: Strickland vs. HernandezFeb 21, 2026

FlyweightLOW Confidence

Value

Ode Osbourne

Sportsbook

+130

Expected EV

+55.5%

Our Prediction

67.6%

+24.1% EDGE

Ode Osbourne

13-9-0 Record

Market Odds

+13043.5% implied

Expected Value

+55.5% EV

67.6%Prediction

+24.1% EDGE

Value Bet Recommended

Prediction

32.4%

Alibi Idiris

Sportsbook

-155

Expected EV

-46.7%

Alibi Idiris

11-1-0 Record

Expected Value

-46.7% EV

Market Odds

60.8% implied-155

Prediction32.4%

-28.4% EDGE

Victory MethodsDraftKings

KO/TKO 77%

Decision 18%

SUB 5%

Provider: DraftKings

UFC Fight Night: Strickland vs. HernandezFeb 21, 2026

WelterweightHIGH Confidence

Prediction

30.3%

Ramiz Brahimaj

Sportsbook

-135

Expected EV

-47.3%

Ramiz Brahimaj

13-5-0 Record

Market Odds

-13557.4% implied

Expected Value

-47.3% EV

30.3%Prediction

-27.1% EDGE

Value

Punahele Soriano

Sportsbook

+114

Expected EV

+49.2%

Our Prediction

69.7%

+23.0% EDGE

Punahele Soriano

12-4-0 Record

Expected Value

+49.2% EV

Market Odds

46.7% implied+114

Prediction69.7%

+23.0% EDGE

Value Bet Recommended

Victory MethodsDraftKings

Decision 65%

KO/TKO 31%

SUB 4%

Provider: DraftKings

UFC Fight Night: Strickland vs. HernandezFeb 21, 2026

WelterweightLOW Confidence

Value

Phil Rowe

Sportsbook

+170

Expected EV

+57.4%

Our Prediction

58.3%

+21.3% EDGE

Phil Rowe

11-6-0 Record

Market Odds

+17037.0% implied

Expected Value

+57.4% EV

58.3%Prediction

+21.3% EDGE

Value Bet Recommended

Prediction

41.7%

Jean-Paul Lebosnoyani

Sportsbook

-205

Expected EV

-38.0%

Jean-Paul Lebosnoyani

9-2-0 Record

Expected Value

-38.0% EV

Market Odds

67.2% implied-205

Prediction41.7%

-25.5% EDGE

Victory MethodsDraftKings

KO/TKO 79%

Decision 16%

SUB 5%

Provider: DraftKings

UFC Fight Night: Moreno vs. KavanaghFeb 28, 2026

FlyweightLOW Confidence

#5 Ranked

Prediction

47.4%

Brandon Moreno

Sportsbook

-225

Expected EV

-31.5%

#5 Ranked

Brandon Moreno

23-9-2 Record

Market Odds

-22569.2% implied

Expected Value

-31.5% EV

47.4%Prediction

-21.8% EDGE

Value

#15 Ranked

Lone'er Kavanagh

Sportsbook

+185

Expected EV

+49.9%

Our Prediction

52.6%

+17.5% EDGE

#15 Ranked

Lone'er Kavanagh

9-1-0 Record

Expected Value

+49.9% EV

Market Odds

35.1% implied+185

Prediction52.6%

+17.5% EDGE

Value Bet Recommended

Victory MethodsDraftKings

Decision 71%

KO/TKO 26%

SUB 4%

Provider: DraftKings

UFC Fight Night: Moreno vs. KavanaghFeb 28, 2026

LightweightHIGH Confidence

Prediction

60.3%

Daniel Zellhuber

Sportsbook

-520

Expected EV

-28.1%

Daniel Zellhuber

15-3-0 Record

Market Odds

-52083.9% implied

Expected Value

-28.1% EV

60.3%Prediction

-23.6% EDGE

Value

King Green

Sportsbook

+350

Expected EV

+78.7%

Our Prediction

39.7%

+17.5% EDGE

King Green

33-17-1 Record

Expected Value

+78.7% EV

Market Odds

22.2% implied+350

Prediction39.7%

+17.5% EDGE

Value Bet Recommended

Victory MethodsFanDuel

SUB 52%

Decision 43%

KO/TKO 6%

Provider: FanDuel

UFC Fight Night: Moreno vs. KavanaghFeb 28, 2026

MiddleweightLOW Confidence

Prediction

63.3%

Ryan Gandra

Sportsbook

-550

Expected EV

-25.2%

Ryan Gandra

8-1-0 Record

Market Odds

-55084.6% implied

Expected Value

-25.2% EV

63.3%Prediction

-21.3% EDGE

Value

Jose Daniel Medina

Sportsbook

+400

Expected EV

+83.5%

Our Prediction

36.7%

+16.7% EDGE

Jose Daniel Medina

11-6-0 Record

Expected Value

+83.5% EV

Market Odds

20.0% implied+400

Prediction36.7%

+16.7% EDGE

Value Bet Recommended

Victory MethodsBetOnline.ag

Decision 45%

KO/TKO 38%

SUB 17%

Provider: BetOnline.ag

UFC 326: Holloway vs. Oliveira 2Mar 7, 2026

FlyweightLOW Confidence

Prediction

52.2%

Sumudaerji

Sportsbook

-215

Expected EV

-23.5%

Sumudaerji

18-7-0 Record

Market Odds

-21568.3% implied

Expected Value

-23.5% EV

52.2%Prediction

-16.1% EDGE

Value

Jesus Aguilar

Sportsbook

+185

Expected EV

+36.2%

Our Prediction

47.8%

+12.7% EDGE

Jesus Aguilar

12-3-0 Record

Expected Value

+36.2% EV

Market Odds

35.1% implied+185

Prediction47.8%

+12.7% EDGE

Value Bet Recommended

Victory MethodsBetOnline.ag

Decision 89%

KO/TKO 7%

SUB 4%

Provider: BetOnline.ag

UFC Fight Night: Moreno vs. KavanaghFeb 28, 2026

FlyweightLOW Confidence

Prediction

53.0%

Edgar Chairez

Sportsbook

-250

Expected EV

-25.8%

Edgar Chairez

12-6-0 Record

Market Odds

-25071.4% implied

Expected Value

-25.8% EV

53.0%Prediction

-18.4% EDGE

Value

Felipe Bunes

Sportsbook

+190

Expected EV

+36.3%

Our Prediction

47.0%

+12.5% EDGE

Felipe Bunes

14-8-0 Record

Expected Value

+36.3% EV

Market Odds

34.5% implied+190

Prediction47.0%

+12.5% EDGE

Value Bet Recommended

Victory MethodsFanDuel

SUB 82%

Decision 12%

KO/TKO 6%

Provider: FanDuel

UFC Fight Night: Strickland vs. HernandezFeb 21, 2026

WelterweightLOW Confidence

#12 Ranked

Prediction

50.4%

Geoff Neal

Sportsbook

-198

Expected EV

-24.1%

#12 Ranked

Geoff Neal

16-7-0 Record

Market Odds

-19866.4% implied

Expected Value

-24.1% EV

50.4%Prediction

-16.0% EDGE

Value

Uros Medic

Sportsbook

+164

Expected EV

+30.9%

Our Prediction

49.6%

+11.7% EDGE

Uros Medic

12-3-0 Record

Expected Value

+30.9% EV

Market Odds

37.9% implied+164

Prediction49.6%

+11.7% EDGE

Value Bet Recommended

Victory MethodsDraftKings

KO/TKO 83%

Decision 13%

SUB 4%

Provider: DraftKings

UFC Fight Night: Moreno vs. KavanaghFeb 28, 2026

BantamweightLOW Confidence

#7 Ranked

Prediction

47.8%

Ailin Perez

Sportsbook

-160

Expected EV

-22.3%

#7 Ranked

Ailin Perez

12-2-0 Record

Market Odds

-16061.5% implied

Expected Value

-22.3% EV

47.8%Prediction

-13.7% EDGE

Value

#8 Ranked

Macy Chiasson

Sportsbook

+140

Expected EV

+25.3%

Our Prediction

52.2%

+10.5% EDGE

#8 Ranked

Macy Chiasson

11-5-0 Record

Expected Value

+25.3% EV

Market Odds

41.7% implied+140

Prediction52.2%

+10.5% EDGE

Value Bet Recommended

Victory MethodsBetOnline.ag

SUB 55%

KO/TKO 33%

Decision 12%

Provider: BetOnline.ag

UFC Fight Night: Strickland vs. HernandezFeb 21, 2026

WelterweightMEDIUM Confidence

Value

Chidi Njokuani

Sportsbook

+114

Expected EV

+22.4%

Our Prediction

57.2%

+10.5% EDGE

Chidi Njokuani

25-11-0 Record

Market Odds

+11446.7% implied

Expected Value

+22.4% EV

57.2%Prediction

+10.5% EDGE

Value Bet Recommended

Prediction

42.8%

Carlos Leal

Sportsbook

-135

Expected EV

-25.5%

Carlos Leal

22-7-0 Record

Expected Value

-25.5% EV

Market Odds

57.4% implied-135

Prediction42.8%

-14.6% EDGE

Victory MethodsDraftKings

Decision 66%

KO/TKO 30%

SUB 4%

Provider: DraftKings

UFC 326: Holloway vs. Oliveira 2Mar 7, 2026

FeatherweightMEDIUM Confidence

Prediction

54.8%

JooSang Yoo

Sportsbook

-220

Expected EV

-20.3%

JooSang Yoo

9-1-0 Record

Market Odds

-22068.8% implied

Expected Value

-20.3% EV

54.8%Prediction

-13.9% EDGE

Value

Gaston Bolanos

Sportsbook

+185

Expected EV

+28.8%

Our Prediction

45.2%

+10.1% EDGE

Gaston Bolanos

8-5-0 Record

Expected Value

+28.8% EV

Market Odds

35.1% implied+185

Prediction45.2%

+10.1% EDGE

Value Bet Recommended

Victory MethodsBetOnline.ag

KO/TKO 79%

Decision 16%

SUB 5%

Provider: BetOnline.ag

UFC 326: Holloway vs. Oliveira 2Mar 7, 2026

MiddleweightLOW Confidence

Prediction

65.1%

Donte Johnson

Sportsbook

-400

Expected EV

-18.6%

Donte Johnson

7-0-0 Record

Market Odds

-40080.0% implied

Expected Value

-18.6% EV

65.1%Prediction

-14.9% EDGE

Value

Dusko Todorovic

Sportsbook

+300

Expected EV

+39.6%

Our Prediction

34.9%

+9.9% EDGE

Dusko Todorovic

13-6-0 Record

Expected Value

+39.6% EV

Market Odds

25.0% implied+300

Prediction34.9%

+9.9% EDGE

Value Bet Recommended

Victory MethodsBetOnline.ag

SUB 82%

Decision 12%

KO/TKO 6%

Provider: BetOnline.ag

UFC 326: Holloway vs. Oliveira 2Mar 7, 2026

BantamweightMEDIUM Confidence

Value

#13 Ranked

Rob Font

Sportsbook

+170

Expected EV

+24.7%

Our Prediction

46.2%

+9.2% EDGE

#13 Ranked

Rob Font

22-9-0 Record

Market Odds

+17037.0% implied

Expected Value

+24.7% EV

46.2%Prediction

+9.2% EDGE

Value Bet Recommended

Prediction

53.8%

Raul Rosas Jr.

Sportsbook

-200

Expected EV

-19.3%

Raul Rosas Jr.

11-1-0 Record

Expected Value

-19.3% EV

Market Odds

66.7% implied-200

Prediction53.8%

-12.9% EDGE

Victory MethodsBetOnline.ag

Decision 48%

SUB 32%

KO/TKO 20%

Provider: BetOnline.ag

UFC 326: Holloway vs. Oliveira 2Mar 7, 2026

FlyweightMEDIUM Confidence

Value

Cody Durden

Sportsbook

+110

Expected EV

+16.8%

Our Prediction

55.6%

+8.0% EDGE

Cody Durden

17-9-1 Record

Market Odds

+11047.6% implied

Expected Value

+16.8% EV

55.6%Prediction

+8.0% EDGE

Value Bet Recommended

Prediction

44.4%

Nyamjargal Tumendemberel

Sportsbook

-130

Expected EV

-21.4%

Nyamjargal Tumendemberel

9-1-0 Record

Expected Value

-21.4% EV

Market Odds

56.5% implied-130

Prediction44.4%

-12.1% EDGE

Victory MethodsBetOnline.ag

SUB 81%

Decision 12%

KO/TKO 6%

Provider: BetOnline.ag

UFC Fight Night: Moreno vs. KavanaghFeb 28, 2026

FeatherweightLOW Confidence

Value

Douglas Silva de Andrade

Sportsbook

+195

Expected EV

+21.2%

Our Prediction

41.1%

+7.2% EDGE

Douglas Silva de Andrade

29-6-0 Record

Market Odds

+19533.9% implied

Expected Value

+21.2% EV

41.1%Prediction

+7.2% EDGE

Value Bet Recommended

Prediction

58.9%

Javier Reyes

Sportsbook

-230

Expected EV

-15.5%

Javier Reyes

22-5-0 Record

Expected Value

-15.5% EV

Market Odds

69.7% implied-230

Prediction58.9%

-10.8% EDGE

Victory MethodsBetOnline.ag

Decision 54%

KO/TKO 31%

SUB 15%

Provider: BetOnline.ag

UFC Fight Night: Moreno vs. KavanaghFeb 28, 2026

BantamweightHIGH Confidence

Value

#8 Ranked

Marlon Vera

Sportsbook

+220

Expected EV

+22.9%

Our Prediction

38.4%

+7.2% EDGE

#8 Ranked

Marlon Vera

23-11-1 Record

Market Odds

+22031.3% implied

Expected Value

+22.9% EV

38.4%Prediction

+7.2% EDGE

Value Bet Recommended

#10 Ranked

Prediction

61.6%

David Martinez

Sportsbook

-295

Expected EV

-17.5%

#10 Ranked

David Martinez

13-1-0 Record

Expected Value

-17.5% EV

Market Odds

74.7% implied-295

Prediction61.6%

-13.1% EDGE

Victory MethodsFanDuel

Decision 66%

KO/TKO 30%

SUB 4%

Provider: FanDuel

UFC 326: Holloway vs. Oliveira 2Mar 7, 2026

MiddleweightMEDIUM Confidence

#13 Ranked

Prediction

57.5%

Gregory Rodrigues

Sportsbook

-195

Expected EV

-13.0%

#13 Ranked

Gregory Rodrigues

18-6-0 Record

Market Odds

-19566.1% implied

Expected Value

-13.0% EV

57.5%Prediction

-8.6% EDGE

Value

#15 Ranked

Brunno Ferreira

Sportsbook

+170

Expected EV

+14.7%

Our Prediction

42.5%

+5.5% EDGE

#15 Ranked

Brunno Ferreira

15-2-0 Record

Expected Value

+14.7% EV

Market Odds

37.0% implied+170

Prediction42.5%

+5.5% EDGE

Value Bet Recommended

Victory MethodsBetOnline.ag

Decision 51%

KO/TKO 46%

SUB 3%

Provider: BetOnline.ag

UFC Fight Night: Strickland vs. HernandezFeb 21, 2026

HeavyweightLOW Confidence

#7 Ranked

Serghei Spivac

Sportsbook

+140

Expected EV

+11.8%

Our Prediction

46.6%

+4.9% EDGE

#7 Ranked

Serghei Spivac

17-6-0 Record

Market Odds

+14041.7% implied

Expected Value

+11.8% EV

46.6%Prediction

+4.9% EDGE

#10 Ranked

Prediction

53.4%

Ante Delija

Sportsbook

-166

Expected EV

-14.4%

#10 Ranked

Ante Delija

26-7-0 Record

Expected Value

-14.4% EV

Market Odds

62.4% implied-166

Prediction53.4%

-9.0% EDGE

Victory MethodsDraftKings

KO/TKO 87%

Decision 10%

SUB 3%

Provider: DraftKings

UFC Fight Night: Moreno vs. KavanaghFeb 28, 2026

BantamweightLOW Confidence

Prediction

72.8%

Santiago Luna

Sportsbook

-480

Expected EV

-12.0%

Santiago Luna

7-0-0 Record

Market Odds

-48082.8% implied

Expected Value

-12.0% EV

72.8%Prediction

-10.0% EDGE

Angel Pacheco

Sportsbook

+330

Expected EV

+17.0%

Our Prediction

27.2%

+3.9% EDGE

Angel Pacheco

7-3-0 Record

Expected Value

+17.0% EV

Market Odds

23.3% implied+330

Prediction27.2%

+3.9% EDGE

Victory MethodsFanDuel

KO/TKO 79%

Decision 17%

SUB 5%

Provider: FanDuel

UFC Fight Night: Strickland vs. HernandezFeb 21, 2026

FeatherweightHIGH Confidence

Jordan Leavitt

Sportsbook

+260

Expected EV

+12.3%

Our Prediction

31.2%

+3.4% EDGE

Jordan Leavitt

12-3-0 Record

Market Odds

+26027.8% implied

Expected Value

+12.3% EV

31.2%Prediction

+3.4% EDGE

Prediction

68.8%

Yadier del Valle

Sportsbook

-325

Expected EV

-10.0%

Yadier del Valle

10-0-0 Record

Expected Value

-10.0% EV

Market Odds

76.5% implied-325

Prediction68.8%

-7.7% EDGE

Victory MethodsDraftKings

SUB 82%

Decision 12%

KO/TKO 6%

Provider: DraftKings

UFC Fight Night: Moreno vs. KavanaghFeb 28, 2026

FlyweightLOW Confidence

Sofia Montenegro

Sportsbook

+270

Expected EV

+11.7%

Our Prediction

30.2%

+3.2% EDGE

Sofia Montenegro

6-2-0 Record

Market Odds

+27027.0% implied

Expected Value

+11.7% EV

30.2%Prediction

+3.2% EDGE

Prediction

69.8%

Ernesta Kareckaite

Sportsbook

-330

Expected EV

-9.0%

Ernesta Kareckaite

6-1-1 Record

Expected Value

-9.0% EV

Market Odds

76.7% implied-330

Prediction69.8%

-6.9% EDGE

Victory MethodsBetOnline.ag

Decision 90%

KO/TKO 6%

SUB 4%

Provider: BetOnline.ag

UFC Fight Night: Moreno vs. KavanaghFeb 28, 2026

FeatherweightLOW Confidence

Prediction

23.0%

Erik Silva

Sportsbook

+400

Expected EV

+15.0%

Erik Silva

9-3-0 Record

Market Odds

+40020.0% implied

Expected Value

+15.0% EV

23.0%Prediction

+3.0% EDGE

Prediction

77.0%

Francis Marshall

Sportsbook

-550

Expected EV

-9.0%

Francis Marshall

8-3-0 Record

Expected Value

-9.0% EV

Market Odds

84.6% implied-550

Prediction77.0%

-7.6% EDGE

Victory MethodsBetOnline.ag

Decision 89%

KO/TKO 7%

SUB 4%

Provider: BetOnline.ag

UFC Fight Night: Strickland vs. HernandezFeb 21, 2026

MiddleweightHIGH Confidence

#3 Ranked

Prediction

23.9%

Sean Strickland

Sportsbook

+225

Expected EV

-22.3%

#3 Ranked

Sean Strickland

29-7-0 Record

Market Odds

+22530.8% implied

Expected Value

-22.3% EV

23.9%Prediction

-6.9% EDGE

#4 Ranked

Prediction

76.1%

Anthony Hernandez

Sportsbook

-278

Expected EV

+3.5%

#4 Ranked

Anthony Hernandez

15-2-0 Record

Expected Value

+3.5% EV

Market Odds

73.5% implied-278

Prediction76.1%

+2.6% EDGE

Victory MethodsDraftKings

SUB 53%

KO/TKO 25%

Decision 23%

Provider: DraftKings

UFC 326: Holloway vs. Oliveira 2Mar 7, 2026

MiddleweightHIGH Confidence

#7 Ranked

Prediction

65.1%

Caio Borralho

Sportsbook

-250

Expected EV

-8.9%

#7 Ranked

Caio Borralho

17-2-0 Record

Market Odds

-25071.4% implied

Expected Value

-8.9% EV

65.1%Prediction

-6.3% EDGE

#8 Ranked

Prediction

34.9%

Reinier de Ridder

Sportsbook

+205

Expected EV

+6.4%

#8 Ranked

Reinier de Ridder

21-3-0 Record

Expected Value

+6.4% EV

Market Odds

32.8% implied+205

Prediction34.9%

+2.1% EDGE

Victory MethodsDraftKings

Decision 65%

KO/TKO 32%

SUB 4%

Provider: DraftKings

UFC Fight Night: Strickland vs. HernandezFeb 21, 2026

BantamweightHIGH Confidence

#12 Ranked

Prediction

29.7%

Nora Cornolle

Sportsbook

+260

Expected EV

+6.9%

#12 Ranked

Nora Cornolle

9-3-0 Record

Market Odds

+26027.8% implied

Expected Value

+6.9% EV

29.7%Prediction

+1.9% EDGE

#14 Ranked

Prediction

70.3%

Joselyne Edwards

Sportsbook

-325

Expected EV

-8.1%

#14 Ranked

Joselyne Edwards

16-6-0 Record

Expected Value

-8.1% EV

Market Odds

76.5% implied-325

Prediction70.3%

-6.2% EDGE

Victory MethodsDraftKings

KO/TKO 45%

SUB 41%

Decision 14%

Provider: DraftKings

UFC Fight Night: Strickland vs. HernandezFeb 21, 2026

WelterweightMEDIUM Confidence

Prediction

46.2%

Jacobe Smith

Sportsbook

-108

Expected EV

-11.0%

Jacobe Smith

11-0-0 Record

Market Odds

-10851.9% implied

Expected Value

-11.0% EV

46.2%Prediction

-5.7% EDGE

Prediction

53.8%

Seokhyeon Ko

Sportsbook

-112

Expected EV

+1.8%

Seokhyeon Ko

13-2-0 Record

Expected Value

+1.8% EV

Market Odds

52.8% implied-112

Prediction53.8%

+1.0% EDGE

Victory MethodsBovada

Decision 90%

KO/TKO 6%

SUB 4%

Provider: Bovada

UFC Fight Night: Strickland vs. HernandezFeb 21, 2026

FeatherweightHIGH Confidence

#14 Ranked

Prediction

31.9%

Dan Ige

Sportsbook

+170

Expected EV

-13.9%

#14 Ranked

Dan Ige

19-10-0 Record

Market Odds

+17037.0% implied

Expected Value

-13.9% EV

31.9%Prediction

-5.1% EDGE

Prediction

68.1%

Melquizael Costa

Sportsbook

-205

Expected EV

+1.3%

Melquizael Costa

25-7-0 Record

Expected Value

+1.3% EV

Market Odds

67.2% implied-205

Prediction68.1%

+0.9% EDGE

Victory MethodsDraftKings

Decision 49%

SUB 30%

KO/TKO 21%

Provider: DraftKings

UFC 326: Holloway vs. Oliveira 2Mar 7, 2026

LightweightHIGH Confidence

#4 Ranked

Prediction

67.3%

Max Holloway

Sportsbook

-200

Expected EV

+1.0%

#4 Ranked

Max Holloway

27-8-0 Record

Market Odds

-20066.7% implied

Expected Value

+1.0% EV

67.3%Prediction

+0.6% EDGE

#3 Ranked

Prediction

32.7%

Charles Oliveira

Sportsbook

+154

Expected EV

-16.9%

#3 Ranked

Charles Oliveira

36-11-0 Record

Expected Value

-16.9% EV

Market Odds

39.4% implied+154

Prediction32.7%

-6.7% EDGE

Victory MethodsDraftKings

KO/TKO 64%

Decision 33%

SUB 4%

Provider: DraftKings

UFC Fight Night: Strickland vs. HernandezFeb 21, 2026

FlyweightHIGH Confidence

Prediction

17.6%

Juliana Miller

Sportsbook

+440

Expected EV

-5.0%

Juliana Miller

5-3-0 Record

Market Odds

+44018.5% implied

Expected Value

-5.0% EV

17.6%Prediction

-0.9% EDGE

Prediction

82.4%

Carli Judice

Sportsbook

-600

Expected EV

-3.9%

Carli Judice

5-2-0 Record

Expected Value

-3.9% EV

Market Odds

85.7% implied-600

Prediction82.4%

-3.3% EDGE

Victory MethodsDraftKings

KO/TKO 86%

Decision 11%

SUB 3%

Provider: DraftKings

UFC Fight Night: Adesanya vs. PyferMar 28, 2026

MiddleweightMEDIUM Confidence

#6 Ranked

Prediction

46.2%

Israel Adesanya

Sportsbook

+110

Expected EV

-3.0%

#6 Ranked

Israel Adesanya

24-5-0 Record

Market Odds

+11047.6% implied

Expected Value

-3.0% EV

46.2%Prediction

-1.4% EDGE

#14 Ranked

Prediction

53.8%

Joe Pyfer

Sportsbook

-130

Expected EV

-4.8%

#14 Ranked

Joe Pyfer

15-3-0 Record

Expected Value

-4.8% EV

Market Odds

56.5% implied-130

Prediction53.8%

-2.7% EDGE

Victory MethodsDraftKings

KO/TKO 45%

SUB 29%

Decision 26%

Provider: DraftKings

UFC Fight Night: Strickland vs. HernandezFeb 21, 2026

FlyweightLOW Confidence

Prediction

71.5%

Alden Coria

Sportsbook

-285

Expected EV

-3.4%

Alden Coria

11-3-0 Record

Market Odds

-28574.0% implied

Expected Value

-3.4% EV

71.5%Prediction

-2.5% EDGE

Prediction

28.5%

Luis Gurule

Sportsbook

+230

Expected EV

-6.0%

Luis Gurule

10-2-0 Record

Expected Value

-6.0% EV

Market Odds

30.3% implied+230

Prediction28.5%

-1.8% EDGE

Victory MethodsDraftKings

KO/TKO 74%

Decision 20%

SUB 6%

Provider: DraftKings

Data analytics engine updated every 15 minutes. High volatility market. Gamble responsibly.